DOST Discredits Manga Prediction of Megaquake in the Philippines

On July 5, 2025, the Department of Science and Technology (DOST) of the Philippines publicly refuted claims that a megaquake predicted by a Japanese manga would strike the nation within the month. DOST Secretary Renato Solidum emphasized that such predictions lack scientific grounding, clarifying that unlike meteorological phenomena, the precise timing and location of earthquakes cannot be reliably forecasted.

In a forum held in Quezon City, Solidum explained that while long-term predictions can be made based on historical fault movements, they remain inherently uncertain. "We can identify faults that may move every four to six hundred years, potentially resulting in significant earthquakes. However, we cannot predict the exact timing of these events," he stated. This perspective is supported by scientific consensus on earthquake prediction limitations, as articulated by experts in the field.

The specific manga, titled "The Future That I Saw" by Ryo Tatsuki, gained attention for an excerpt suggesting, "The real disaster will come in July 2025; the ocean floor between Japan and the Philippines will crack." This narrative has sparked widespread concern, particularly because the manga artist had previously predicted the devastating tsunami that struck Japan in March 2011.

Dr. Maria Lopez, a seismologist at the University of the Philippines, noted that while literary works can influence public perception, it is crucial to base disaster preparedness on scientifically validated information rather than fictional predictions. "Public fear can lead to unnecessary panic, and it is vital for government agencies to communicate factual information to mitigate these anxieties," she stated.

According to the Philippine Institute of Volcanology and Seismology (PHIVOLCS), while the possibility of a major earthquake exists in the region due to its location in the Pacific Ring of Fire, the agency focuses on providing data and resources to promote earthquake preparedness among communities. PHIVOLCS Director Dr. Teresito Bacolcol reiterated this sentiment, emphasizing that community readiness is key, stating, "Preparation is about understanding risks and having plans in place, rather than fixating on specific dates or predictions."

The DOST's clarification serves as a reminder of the importance of scientific literacy in the public discourse surrounding natural disasters. Solidum urged citizens to focus on preparedness measures and to consult reliable sources for information. "We encourage everyone to stay informed through official announcements and to participate in local disaster preparedness initiatives. The science of earthquakes is complex, and our best defense is proactive community engagement," he concluded.

This incident highlights the potential repercussions of sensationalized interpretations of fictional works and the necessity for institutions to provide clear, science-based guidance in the face of public concerns. As the Philippines continues to grapple with its seismic risks, the focus must remain on education and preparedness rather than fear-driven narratives.